Definitive-Curtain
0xbcde0a5fb03531fca5e631b77fa4f9b5aa468dda
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$600.82
Total PnL
$-91.63
Realised
$54.55
Win rate
98%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$49.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
31 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.28
$-1.72
- NO
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.22
$-2.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
32 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$25.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
25 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$25.11
$0.11
- NO
Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$25.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
26 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$24.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
27 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$24.07
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.40May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.10May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.32May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.01May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.01May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.00May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.18May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.01May 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.76May 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.14May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.01May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.78May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.05May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.25May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.05May 18, 01:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".