Unacceptable-Kielbasa
0xbcf96b9cf8335f23d6c0904dea605dd144179b13
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$348.10
Total PnL
$-107.30
Realised
$-14.40
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
151 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$150.76
$9.25
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
40 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$40.00
$0.90
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
30 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.65
$1.95
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.80
$-0.60
- YES
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$22.05
$1.65
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
22 shares @ 77.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.48
$2.72
- YES
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
27 shares @ 24.5¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.00
$12.44
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
40 shares @ 81.1¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.78
$-21.66
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$10.00
$2.60
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.25
$-4.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$19.50May 3, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$19.60May 3, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.93May 3, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$7.40May 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.36Apr 28, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$15.40Apr 28, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$26.70Apr 28, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?$199.60Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$200.00Apr 27, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?$100.00Apr 25, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.22Apr 24, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?$94.30Apr 24, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.06Apr 24, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.83Apr 24, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$35.00Apr 24, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$27.00Apr 24, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$18.50Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$37.00Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$12.33Apr 23, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $23.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".