Second-Hand-Ceramic
0xbd53b35ff85bdd2dc17afc4eda7b0c66da5e8dd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-0.36
Realised
$10.11
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
386 shares @ 76.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$289.37
$-5.07
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
290 shares @ 78.3¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$246.63
$19.53
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
297 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$211.06
$8.85
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$131.00
$17.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
79 shares @ 81.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.46
$6.42
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
60 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.30
$1.50
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
213 shares @ 21.9¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.16
$6.51
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
210 shares @ 17.3¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.32
$1.89
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
44 shares @ 71.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$35.56
$4.20
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.90
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$45.21May 18, 09:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.49May 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$51.64May 17, 13:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$2.96May 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$71.40May 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.66May 16, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$20.00May 16, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$14.99May 16, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$159.83May 16, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.85May 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.27May 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$8.10May 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.18May 14, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$12.91May 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.20May 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$114.00May 13, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$40.00May 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$89.90May 12, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $38.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".