Leading-Hobby
0xbd67981ebc247d3eee89160e859e91cd190e8f09
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$172.22
Total PnL
$-0.23
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$26.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$0.02
- NO
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?
19 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$18.65
$-0.28
- NO
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?
18 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$17.86
$-0.06
- NO
Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?
17 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$16.95
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$13.00
$0.06
- NO
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$10.88
$-0.08
- NO
Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.98
$0.01
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$8.25
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$13.99Apr 25, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 22?$50.00Apr 23, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarova$24.99Apr 21, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$10.00Apr 21, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$111.00Apr 21, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$19.98Apr 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$19.98Apr 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$9.80Apr 21, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 22?$49.95Apr 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$35.25Apr 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$55.44Apr 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$19.20Apr 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarova$15.67Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarova$3.13Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarova$4.75Apr 21, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$10.00Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMX banned in U.K. by March 31?$18.00Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?$20.00Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$25.00Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$26.00Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $58.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".