0xbd6d646b2c713ce7459afcb1502f34c30f93ed0b
0xbd6d646b2c713ce7459afcb1502f34c30f93ed0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$422.69
Realised
$-214.46
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
4378 shares @ 54.6¢·now 87.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.8K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?
786 shares @ 75.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$707.19
$117.87
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 25.7¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$487.00
$-27.20
- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
723 shares @ 65.9¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$444.65
$-31.68
- NO
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
1561 shares @ 40.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$366.80
$-270.13
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
1330 shares @ 16.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$206.12
$-10.63
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
509 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.09
$-17.73
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2033 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$173.84
$17.28
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
3070 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$153.50
$25.63
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?
670 shares @ 12.6¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$127.32
$43.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.13May 18, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.63May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?$169.02May 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$84.00May 16, 22:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.98May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$59.80May 15, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$57.99May 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$0.02May 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?$0.54May 15, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$2.34May 15, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?$0.54May 15, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$2.34May 15, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?$0.90May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$3.90May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$1.04May 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?$0.27May 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?$153.71May 15, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $44.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".