0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292
0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$575.24
Total PnL
$-281.49
Realised
$-12.58
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
135 shares @ 25.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.03
$-9.97
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
153 shares @ 26.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.65
$-16.13
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 86.3¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
56 shares @ 71.6¢·now 39.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.83
$-18.17
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
20 shares @ 75.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
119 shares @ 12.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.48
$0.48
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
46 shares @ 32.5¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$-0.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 73.4¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.22
$-6.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.92
$-2.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?$10.70May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$20.73May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China Military clash before 2027?$25.32May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$23.30May 18, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.73May 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$4.24May 17, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$7.51May 17, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?$16.54May 17, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$46.83May 17, 20:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$26.64May 14, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$15.96May 14, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.43May 14, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 14, 08:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$5.17May 13, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".