Granular-Imbalance
0xbd9347af6f1aafd25486005e24ca2d853407ebfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$104.48
Total PnL
$-35.03
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 15?
15 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$15.32
$0.32
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?
12 shares @ 99.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.02
$0.02
- LUKAS NEUMAYER
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Lukas Neumayer
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$7.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 14?
7 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15?
7 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.87
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?
7 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15?$3.00May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 15?$3.00May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 15?$4.00May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?$6.04May 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?$3.00May 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15?$7.06May 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 15?$15.02May 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15?$14.02May 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?$12.00May 14, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.01May 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.02May 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55.09May 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 15?$4.00May 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Lukas Neumayer$7.01May 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?$8.00May 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 14?$7.01May 14, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?$4.68May 14, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs$4.79May 14, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund$6.31May 14, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".