Thorny-Dining
0xbdcba610502fe0c52a09a1843d04fb175079a61b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$284.80
Total PnL
$-602.20
Realised
$51.95
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
1053 shares @ 14.2¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$144.75
$-5.24
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
457 shares @ 46.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$98.15
$-113.88
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 28.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.11
$8.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.31
$1.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.18
$1.18
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.48
$0.48
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.36
$-4.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.94
$-3.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.73
$-3.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.71
$-3.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5$28.57May 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend" during Bret Baier interview?$25.74May 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$204.24May 16, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$2.08May 16, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$9.96May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$2.13May 16, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$156.43May 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$7.41May 16, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$21.11May 16, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$21.30May 16, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$7.45May 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$12.16May 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$35.52May 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$7.26May 16, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$7.29May 16, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$7.27May 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$7.27May 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$7.27May 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$7.26May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.29May 16, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $17.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".