Tan-Creativity
0xbdd08fc7a71196e4aa28741b903cb8e8ccbe550a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$843.79
Total PnL
$-442.59
Realised
$12.10
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Chirayu Rana sued?
329 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.85
$-4.82
- YES
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
255 shares @ 44.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$113.61
$0.22
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.00
$-50.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 49.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$77.85
$33.65
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.50
$-1.50
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.50
$-2.50
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 64.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.35
$-11.25
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$43.15
$1.15
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$20.75
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$42.27May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 17, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$91.50May 17, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$200.64May 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.74May 17, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.37May 17, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$32.46May 16, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$7.34May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.35May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.48May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$12.98May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$12.98May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$99.71May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$18.19May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.64May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$18.29May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$18.20May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.04May 16, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".