Occasional-Guilt
0xbdf61c672bb559282114941e55afe7bcf456ceb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$386.51
Total PnL
$-923.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
791 shares @ 63.2¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$282.87
$-217.13
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.11
$-38.89
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
106 shares @ 9.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
55 shares @ 18.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.90
$-23.10
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
285 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.27
$-34.73
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.68
$-7.32
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1252 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.91May 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$102.89May 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$188.63May 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$167.92May 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$252.40May 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$277.84May 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$532.79May 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$849.54May 13, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$325.02May 13, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$170.07May 13, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$188.68May 13, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$289.86May 13, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$677.31May 13, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.3KMay 13, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $253.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".