Anchored-Bob
0xbe3d34441e4fd5f3c69c5a00e694376e37964dc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-751.96
Realised
$-355.39
Win rate
17%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
315 shares @ 85.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$269.17
$0.79
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
503 shares @ 49.9¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$238.80
$-12.21
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
523 shares @ 44.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$222.27
$-8.57
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
170 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.96
$22.95
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
240 shares @ 46.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.80
$14.40
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
174 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.29
$-7.85
- YES
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
140 shares @ 44.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.50
$4.90
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
144 shares @ 62.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.20
$-28.08
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2230 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$47.71
$-8.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$269.97May 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$20.00May 18, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$133.80May 17, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$40.00May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$124.42May 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.96May 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.83May 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.21May 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.39May 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.68May 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.01May 15, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$263.47May 15, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$6.15May 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$6.03May 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$70.44May 15, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$22.00May 15, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $36.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".