Sophisticated-Turn
0xbe529f3c699cc19b8e11d207a3c2fb8cb35432c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-183.10
Win rate
50%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
29189 shares @ 8.3¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
15600 shares @ 13.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
7000 shares @ 7.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$297.50
$-237.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
2880 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$273.60
$-72.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$242.50
$-180.44
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
3400 shares @ 13.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$221.02
$-235.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
7553 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$200.17
$-71.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
2077 shares @ 11.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.28
$-129.34
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
94 shares @ 30.4¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.60
$19.93
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.50
$14.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$1.76May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$21.20May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$91.10May 18, 06:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.69May 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$44.63May 17, 07:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.28May 16, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$50.00May 16, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.21May 16, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$18.48May 16, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$57.68May 14, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$43.12May 14, 06:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.13May 13, 06:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.28May 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.66May 12, 14:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $18.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".