Elliptical-Tugboat
0xbe52df23de9a9faa3ba14f361d1bc3d2157bf676
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-453.16
Realised
$-93.71
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4398 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$798.27
$55.29
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
2206 shares @ 17.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$363.94
$-30.28
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1084 shares @ 22.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$243.90
$-2.77
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$156.75
$-4.75
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5300 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.05
$2.65
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
403 shares @ 21.2¢·now 24.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$97.01
$11.66
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?
517 shares @ 18.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.24
$-88.45
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.54
$-1.54
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
4444 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?
1292 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.76May 16, 22:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$3.00May 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$4.50May 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$4.50May 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$12.26May 15, 08:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$20.07May 14, 20:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$22.12May 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$26.49May 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$26.42May 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$65.64May 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$26.40May 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$26.31May 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$26.34May 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$25.86May 12, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $14.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".