Trifling-Hardship
0xbe71c8cbc38baf80f775a95787bd3b9a112438d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-337.38
Realised
$96.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
1777 shares @ 30.3¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$870.73
$332.30
- YES
Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
692 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$692.00
$166.08
- YES
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
998 shares @ 34.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$429.14
$89.82
- YES
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
314 shares @ 49.1¢·now 42.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$131.88
$-22.29
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.71
$6.21
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
52 shares @ 11.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.26
$7.54
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 23.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.31
$-5.15
- YES
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
823 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-106.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
448 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-44.80
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
399 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-227.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$426.00Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$587.88Apr 24, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$183.92Apr 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$176.04Apr 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$178.47Apr 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$44.80Apr 23, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$339.98Apr 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$6.72Apr 21, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$30.59Apr 21, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$27.09Apr 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?$8.64Apr 12, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$66.43Apr 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$166.16Apr 11, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$5.60Apr 11, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$7.28Apr 11, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$43.71Apr 11, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$160.29Apr 11, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$38.16Apr 11, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$175.32Apr 11, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$96.46Apr 11, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $182.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".