Decent-Poncho
0xbe78735039230635d5debcdc11400619d7e2c533
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-920.17
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
2666 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.7K
$726.94
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
2041 shares @ 46.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.0K
$1.1K
- YES
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
249 shares @ 79.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$246.14
$47.24
- YES
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?
2000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.00
$-16.80
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
3270 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
2823 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-133.42
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?
1659 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?
424 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-145.67
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
25 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$367.07May 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$128.88May 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$8.64May 17, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$437.65May 17, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$22.11May 17, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$2.67May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?$0.65May 16, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$21.11May 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$4.50May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$45.00May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$4.46May 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$28.42May 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$10.94May 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?$1.23May 16, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$604.38May 16, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$730.27May 16, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$23.16May 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$34.05May 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$55.85May 16, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $123.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".