Pessimistic-Poignance
0xbea7bc64a0be27e0a8dc85013e87197dbeaaa100
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
166
Open notional
$30.47
Total PnL
$-638.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- KNICKS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-23?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.82
$-4.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?
62 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-23?$5.10May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?$5.07May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$5.08May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$5.04May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$9.26May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?$5.10May 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$5.10May 16, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$12.82May 16, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$5.07May 15, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.10May 15, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$5.09May 15, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6.17May 15, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs$6.49May 15, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$4.90May 12, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.21May 12, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00May 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.01May 12, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$10.00May 12, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.17May 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$5.06May 12, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".