Happy-Go-Lucky-Sandbar
0xbf2d6805731f18fa12084054dc458d7a1ce08452
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$595.27
Total PnL
$-60.50
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
649 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$108.12
$8.12
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
592 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$107.40
$7.40
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2941 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.59
$-4.41
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4313 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.29
$-4.71
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4545 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.18
$-6.81
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.67
$-8.32
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.00
$-15.00
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
30 shares @ 33.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.35
$10.35
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.14
$4.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.08May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.24May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.26May 17, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$0.21May 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$70.77May 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$10.00May 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$10.00May 16, 12:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$10.34May 14, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$10.28May 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$10.27May 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$10.00May 14, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.00May 14, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $25.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".