0xbf59e01d92a6268a25d9fac85dd5cecb8c77f2b8
0xbf59e01d92a6268a25d9fac85dd5cecb8c77f2b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$517.40
Total PnL
$47.11
Realised
$40.93
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
152 shares @ 62.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.08
$5.48
- NO
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.15
$1.15
- NO
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
87 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$85.91
$6.74
- NO
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
96 shares @ 83.2¢·now 80.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$77.71
$-2.52
- NO
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
72 shares @ 88.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$58.28
$-5.43
- UP
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
26 shares @ 79.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$21.97
$1.41
- YES
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
80 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$0.17
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
12 shares @ 83.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.78
$-0.20
- NO
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
10 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.6¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$9.76
$0.79
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
17 shares @ 47.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.24
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?$75.69May 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?$25.42May 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$5.37May 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?$5.58May 16, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.04May 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$4.73May 16, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$4.19May 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$3.12May 16, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$3.12May 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$2.34May 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$1.62May 16, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$1.67May 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$4.89May 16, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?$22.10May 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$3.36May 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$1.67May 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$13.86May 15, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$1.67May 15, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?$5.08May 14, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?$3.98May 14, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".