Sarcastic-Anywhere
0xbf5b8bfefacb7e39739f009fa86ad5914d9307d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$255.61
Total PnL
$-118.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
101 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.56
$2.53
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
751 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.68
$-79.98
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
25 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.37
$0.62
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
46 shares @ 35.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.49
$-1.06
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$14.83
$0.19
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 29.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.65
$1.95
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.30
$-1.50
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
53 shares @ 13.7¢·now 17.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.14
$1.88
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
12 shares @ 66.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.64
$0.72
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.84
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$17.77May 4, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$7.82May 4, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.22May 4, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$19.00May 4, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$15.72May 4, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.66May 4, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.00May 4, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.00May 4, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.00May 4, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00May 4, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 4, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$29.00May 4, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$4.18Mar 31, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.94Mar 25, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.54Mar 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$1.45Mar 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.66Mar 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$5.34Mar 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$3.37Mar 16, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$1.16Mar 16, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $18.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 20:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".