Quizzical-Sense
0xbfb3b574707f2de8de94e8e557c116ff0465c495
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$127.50
Total PnL
$-224.27
Realised
$-24.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?
359 shares @ 61.6¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$127.39
$-93.75
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.11
$-1.24
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
10 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$23.12May 18, 07:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.00May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.03May 18, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$100.00May 17, 15:46 UTC
- SPLITWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$100.00May 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$106.21May 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$50.98May 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$47.11May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$63.82May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$46.51May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$57.53May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$103.50May 17, 15:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.46May 16, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?$100.00May 15, 16:33 UTC
- SPLITWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?$100.00May 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?$96.88May 15, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?$2.90May 15, 16:24 UTC
- SPLITSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?$100.00May 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.01May 13, 10:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.06May 11, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $39.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".