Mundane-Generosity
0xbfba1136a9484c7eb8cd9bc6e08a3fa244b59774
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$144.05
Total PnL
$5.12
Realised
$-1.70
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.23
$2.85
- NO
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 94.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.52
$0.52
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.29
$0.29
- NO
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
5 shares @ 94.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 92.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$3.73May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$2.02May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$10.71May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$16.93May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$1.16May 18, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$0.00May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.06May 18, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$6.97May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$5.05May 18, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$6.94May 18, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.05May 18, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$5.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?$19.89May 18, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.00May 17, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$6.57May 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.07May 17, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.86May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.03May 17, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".