Woeful-Owner
0xbfbaa409da3d3ecf31b55d14c4c864cb67f0f650
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$308.02
Total PnL
$-82.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
40 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.00
$5.00
- NO
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
40 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$40.00
$10.00
- NO
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
37 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.80
$0.28
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 93.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.69
$1.69
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.20
$10.20
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
30 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.27
$3.46
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.50
$16.50
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
77 shares @ 52.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.85
$-21.48
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
136 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.41
$-11.59
- YES
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
116 shares @ 21.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.38
$-11.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$50.00Mar 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$47.00Feb 5, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.00Feb 3, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$50.00Feb 2, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$20.00Feb 2, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$63.16Feb 1, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.59Jan 26, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$15.20Jan 26, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$36.90Jan 26, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$20.50Jan 26, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$8.20Jan 26, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$12.19Jan 26, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$22.80Jan 26, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMJapanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jan 26, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$28.89Jan 20, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$1.04Jan 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$10.41Jan 19, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMBikinis back on X by January 16?$40.00Jan 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$5.00Jan 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$6.10Jan 13, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $21.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".