Embellished-Folklore
0xbfcc89593f147518a37d8ff02deb3e54ef77797d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-46.66
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
500 shares @ 85.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$429.99
$2.00
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 81.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$342.25
$-62.75
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 70.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$243.99
$34.04
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$40.00
$8.00
- NO
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
2075 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-956.39
- YES
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
784 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-229.31
- YES
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
500 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-104.25
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-253.00
- YES
Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?
400 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".