Quiet-Approach
0xbfd60036b965a704fe63fd79886d1cf2573aa888
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$131.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
795 shares @ 81.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$735.04
$85.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
618 shares @ 80.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$540.98
$40.98
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$124.09
$24.09
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$107.27
$7.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$101.69
$1.69
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$99.47
$-0.53
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.17
$-2.83
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$68.25
$-31.75
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
69 shares @ 79.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.73
$11.73
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
77 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$56.15
$-3.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$238.10May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.56May 14, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$33.90May 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$200.00May 10, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$20.00May 10, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$40.45May 10, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$100.00May 10, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$20.00May 10, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$50.40May 10, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$100.60May 10, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$40.22May 10, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.00May 10, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.22May 6, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$302.16May 2, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$113.64May 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.05Apr 30, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$201.60Apr 30, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$111.11Apr 30, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$527.91Apr 30, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.00Apr 30, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $134.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".