Ill-Fated-Passive
0xc0184ef91c0f76c95a3401bb612372a8a20e018a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$601.75
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
901 shares @ 24.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$211.65
$-9.53
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2055 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$186.97
$-13.03
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3754 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$120.13
$1.85
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$83.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
2000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-259.68
- YES
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
1530 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-209.09
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
1500 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-960.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?
852 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-530.90
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?
500 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-221.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.62May 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$11.50May 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.90May 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$104.68May 8, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$106.00May 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$207.22May 8, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$167.90May 8, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$263.81May 8, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$83.10May 4, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$20.84May 4, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$44.06May 4, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$2.79May 4, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.12May 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$3.00May 4, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$13.53May 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$182.57May 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$58.48May 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.11May 4, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$25.09May 4, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$108.32May 4, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $93.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".