Scholarly-Psychology
0xc0b646c3d97e2e86a1bceaa880ad2f628eb33a92
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$21.28
Realised
$-1.66
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
808 shares @ 81.2¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$656.93
$0.81
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
411 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$151.95
$8.21
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
808 shares @ 18.8¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$150.61
$-1.61
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
615 shares @ 17.4¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.28
$5.23
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$85.00
$-15.00
- NO
Trump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.50
$20.50
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
400 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.75
$-0.75
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
231 shares @ 9.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.07
$7.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
521 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.49
$5.21
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.59May 18, 10:59 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$22.45May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$25.55May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$72.08May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$103.43May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.43May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.73May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$3.75May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$1.09May 18, 03:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$8.80May 18, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.07May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$24.35May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$41.00May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$147.47May 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$9.22May 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$6.00May 17, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $33.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".