Legitimate-Rebellion
0xc109ae1aebb28caced2c94044f177912f7ff450b
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$944.91
Total PnL
$-140.62
Realised
$12.13
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
283 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$269.38
$2.38
- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
320 shares @ 42.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.98
$-40.71
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
195 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.83
$0.01
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 48.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$73.48
$5.85
- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
150 shares @ 47.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.21
$-11.28
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 41.5¢·now 33.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.63
$-11.61
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.79
$0.40
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
40 shares @ 64.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$25.40
$-0.40
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
75 shares @ 32.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.76
$-1.27
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
235 shares @ 25.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.33
$-37.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.49May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$3.98May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$3.98May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$3.98May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$9.35May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$2.41May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$3.46May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$3.55May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$2.54May 18, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Krasnodar win on 2026-05-11?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?$0.26May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Riasne by May 31?$0.38May 18, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".