Acclaimed-Oldie
0xc150405f381977119c98c2a1d5db427cb26676a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$4.63
Total PnL
$-75.46
Realised
$-2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.02
$1.02
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-1.31
- NO
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 7?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
87 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?
38 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?
35 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$6.79Jan 31, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?$5.00Jan 31, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?$12.00Jan 31, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Devils$13.83Jan 29, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Devils$6.36Jan 26, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Oilers$3.00Jan 26, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIslanders vs. Flyers$3.00Jan 26, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2025 Wrapped be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?$1.02Jan 26, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$1.52Jan 26, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$2.70Jan 26, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$7.13Jan 26, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$2.30Dec 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$1.21Dec 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$1.08Dec 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?$28.00Dec 8, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Dec 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$6.80Dec 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 Wrapped be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?$1.00Dec 8, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$2.00Dec 8, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".