Loose-Obstacle
0xc19147ae9c86aa72d1ab167555fb16f577c3fadd
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$44.54
Total PnL
$-34.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
2006 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$16.05
$-14.67
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
140 shares @ 7.4¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
76 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.68
$-0.70
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$4.33
$2.33
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$-0.90
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
1560 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.34
$-4.80
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
110 shares @ 4.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$-2.81
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
336 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.03May 11, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.84May 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$2.63May 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$6.54May 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.79May 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.23May 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.36May 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$1.21May 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$4.40May 11, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.31May 11, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$5.29May 11, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.38May 11, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$4.95May 11, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.39Apr 28, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$3.48Apr 28, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 22, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.63Apr 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$0.07Apr 19, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$0.05Apr 19, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 19, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".