Unrealistic-Lighting
0xc19d235d2209850967586464df4545d7abd3865e
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.5K
Total PnL
$3.51
Realised
$-829.12
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
6914 shares @ 70.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.8K
$974.48
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
4002 shares @ 49.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$438.03
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
3971 shares @ 66.4¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$-690.78
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2673 shares @ 25.6¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$359.29
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
3652 shares @ 23.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$657.33
$-181.29
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
3009 shares @ 19.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$391.18
$-198.44
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
440 shares @ 70.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$362.99
$52.79
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
645 shares @ 36.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.48
$43.31
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
450 shares @ 45.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$204.75
$2.25
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
2200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.00
$11.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$23.80May 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.50May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.14May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.00May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$41.23May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.00May 18, 02:39 UTC
- REWARD$1.49May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.91May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.80May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$4.86May 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$2.10May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$4.86May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.71May 17, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $30.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".