Offbeat-Thesis
0xc1a58674dbcc1d3208f7e61a0a8b252162caf290
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$344.0K
Total PnL
$16.5K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
82759 shares @ 94.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.1K
$3.2K
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
54230 shares @ 89.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.8K
$5.4K
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
24724 shares @ 93.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.4K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
25705 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.8K
$383.16
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
22669 shares @ 91.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.7K
$-97.41
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
18802 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.2K
$160.72
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
21001 shares @ 87.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.7K
$-641.95
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
16965 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.2K
$2.3K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
16548 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.2K
$460.04
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
17139 shares @ 74.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.0K
$2.2K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$5.45May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$13.00May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$5.3KMay 17, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?$30.84May 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$11.11May 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$5.53May 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$2.9KMay 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$20.43May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$4.59May 16, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$30.00May 16, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$1.2KMay 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$148.00May 16, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$15.00May 16, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$224.00May 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$30.50May 16, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$16.00May 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$11.00May 16, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$45.00May 16, 00:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.06May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by September 30, 2026?$122.31May 15, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".