Juvenile-Bob
0xc1f4892bfa4487c99d8051205ee8be78bf39dd7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$87.31
Realised
$-1.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1023 shares @ 58.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$979.52
$381.41
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
686 shares @ 38.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$545.34
$284.68
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
907 shares @ 53.2¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$526.22
$43.51
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
877 shares @ 34.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$399.03
$96.96
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
916 shares @ 39.4¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$398.46
$37.51
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
555 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$346.86
$-8.32
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$240.00
$40.00
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$204.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
328 shares @ 39.1¢·now 56.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.28
$55.84
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
313 shares @ 36.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$153.13
$40.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$103.02May 18, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$839.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$112.50May 13, 04:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$35.58May 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$21.12May 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$11.73May 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$39.10May 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$18.94May 12, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.97May 12, 12:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$106.19May 11, 07:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.10May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$11.80May 10, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $49.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".