Qualified-Arena
0xc213cde579252b0994fe83fb742da9d9d4a41388
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$50.8K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
38828 shares @ 77.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.1K
$91.98
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
17422 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.7K
$87.11
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
11589 shares @ 38.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.9K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1408 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$964.79
$-35.21
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
122 shares @ 81.8¢·now 83.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$101.64
$1.64
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 70.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$40.66
$-59.34
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
4591 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$4.83May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.84May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.84May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.83May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.87May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.82May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.83May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.83May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.79May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.60May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$13.7KMay 8, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8.1KMay 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$12.1KMay 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.1KMay 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$1.0KApr 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$3.6KApr 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$100.00Apr 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$100.00Apr 19, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1000.00Apr 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$200.00Apr 19, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $5.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".