Defiant-Million
0xc2503d10efe737c0e81fea8f90105c7b69cc8d6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.4K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?
3509 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.5K
$512.98
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
3000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.4K
$-255.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$3.00
- NO
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
1500 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.5K
$45.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?
1014 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.0K
$132.99
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
2176 shares @ 83.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$968.17
$-857.63
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?
726 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$726.15
$111.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$500.00
$50.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
545 shares @ 87.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$477.35
$2.56
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$462.50
$37.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$19.31May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$131.69May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$70.84May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$24.06May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$233.18May 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?$414.07May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?$26.60May 18, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$150.00May 18, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 16?$700.00May 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$0.61May 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$193.54May 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$134.18May 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?$397.97May 16, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$160.64May 16, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 14?$0.00May 16, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?$0.00May 16, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$0.00May 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 16?$240.48May 16, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 11 2026?$200.00May 16, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 15?$200.00May 16, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $274.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".