Silent-Something
0xc289e28b16a6e35104603be57386a70183a7feda
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$126.48
Total PnL
$-106.88
Realised
$-2.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
133 shares @ 17.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$69.04
$46.04
- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
252 shares @ 15.8¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.23
$-14.77
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
58 shares @ 52.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.23
$-18.77
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
26 shares @ 38.9¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$8.55
$-1.45
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.17
$-6.83
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
87 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-43.17
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$43.17Mar 27, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$43.07Mar 27, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "ICE" or "National Guard" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.00Mar 22, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.00Mar 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 9, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.40Mar 6, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.00Mar 6, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLVEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?$5.71Mar 5, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$226.13Mar 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$300.00Mar 5, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$42.51Mar 5, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.4 released by March 9?$54.62Mar 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$30.00Mar 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYVEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?$4.00Mar 5, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Fake news" during the next White House Press Briefing?$9.99Mar 4, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Energy" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.03Mar 4, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.09Mar 4, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.12Mar 4, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Stand" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.03Mar 4, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.03Mar 4, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".