Wasteful-Comment
0xc2d7fef7f24d389cd28d52b48e6ecb172490deb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-680.59
Win rate
49%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
310 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$296.72
$1.33
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
192 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$180.91
$-2.68
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
258 shares @ 69.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.88
$-3.17
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
265 shares @ 56.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$165.63
$14.91
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
190 shares @ 82.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.75
$0.61
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
170 shares @ 89.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$155.55
$4.00
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
175 shares @ 77.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$134.65
$-0.86
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
105 shares @ 90.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.58
$-2.54
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145 shares @ 59.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$84.84
$-1.90
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
110 shares @ 70.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$83.06
$5.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$7.00May 18, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.93May 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.38May 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$8.30May 18, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.82May 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.21May 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.50May 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.79May 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.75May 18, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.69May 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.77May 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2.35May 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$5.87May 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.64May 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.60May 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.80May 18, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.65May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.30May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.90May 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.69May 18, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".