Lone-Bellows
0xc2eb1285f5c621e2f701a0c265cf03cf2432c299
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$10.90
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
270 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.81
$19.99
- NO
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$191.69
$-1.30
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$190.30
$-1.90
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$183.00
$1.00
- NO
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
150 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$144.30
$7.30
- NO
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
142 shares @ 90.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$140.96
$11.54
- YES
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 88.5¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$134.00
$-43.00
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
110 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$103.23
$1.04
- NO
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.84
$6.85
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$97.45
$13.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$40.00May 17, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$50.00May 16, 13:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$60.00May 12, 15:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$30.00May 8, 23:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$20.00May 5, 16:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$50.00May 4, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $46.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".