Pleased-Chaplain
0xc2ff87b109dcb2586f0a51d6fd6b448aa740ce1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$31.3K
Total PnL
$846.40
Realised
$-98.04
Win rate
61%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
22500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.8K
$1.2K
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$193.10
$0.90
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
199 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$192.77
$0.05
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
200 shares @ 96.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$191.10
$-1.50
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
199 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$190.62
$0.20
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
200 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$185.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$185.00
$1.00
- NO
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
198 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.01
$-0.99
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$178.99
$-3.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$76.55May 18, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$57.76May 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.79May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$99.28May 18, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$36.06May 18, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$63.24May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.29May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$22.29May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$44.57May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$52.48May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$32.00May 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$196.00May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$98.90May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$87.00May 18, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$11.86May 18, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$5.93May 18, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$99.21May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$23.40May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$43.38May 18, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $44.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".