Decisive-Spokeswoman
0xc3262aeb0bd81deab067726635f5b5bd39201db1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$3.6K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
89%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
10490 shares @ 76.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.4K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
545 shares @ 79.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$498.68
$63.70
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
610 shares @ 75.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$478.94
$20.72
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
571 shares @ 49.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$442.66
$159.21
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
338 shares @ 88.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$302.37
$2.44
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
220 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.62
$6.60
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
194 shares @ 79.3¢·now 85.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$164.82
$11.12
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.40
$-54.29
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
170 shares @ 67.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.73
$6.36
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
319 shares @ 36.7¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.24
$-3.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.06May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.02May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.20May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.04May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$8.12May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.01May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.02May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.65May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.01May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.02May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.30May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.60May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.05May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.64May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.83May 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$67.00May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$218.88May 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.46May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.28May 18, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $60.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".