Fluffy-Toast
0xc327ccdeabf1bdbd98722c4c2a360f2c3fdc31f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$636.63
Realised
$265.26
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
193 shares @ 51.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$175.26
$75.90
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
200 shares @ 23.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$114.17
$66.52
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
180 shares @ 35.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.20
$43.20
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
209 shares @ 30.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.74
$40.78
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 47.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$104.23
$32.43
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.00
$13.00
- NO
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
102 shares @ 51.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.69
$26.67
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
135 shares @ 23.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$77.63
$46.58
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
105 shares @ 32.5¢·now 72.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$76.33
$42.21
- NO
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
83 shares @ 33.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$73.30
$45.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$19.10May 17, 01:28 UTC
- REWARD$1.05May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$20.67May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$2.09May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.68May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$4.40May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$4.42May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.92May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$4.62May 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$9.23May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$13.60May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$17.13May 16, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.85May 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.15May 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$20.00May 16, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$55.20May 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$22.89May 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.89May 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.89May 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.72May 15, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".