Negative-Night
0xc3395eb2a447dc3c55298876c3f44ac27c9c8140
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.40
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$4.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$4.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 68.3¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$3.55
$-1.45
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-3.62
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 35.0¢·now 64.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$0.59
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-4.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.03May 6, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.04May 4, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.01May 4, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.19May 3, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.02May 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.01May 3, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.01May 3, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.00Apr 26, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.00Apr 26, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 23?$0.00Apr 23, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.05Apr 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.00Apr 23, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.10Apr 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 23?$1.10Apr 22, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.10Apr 22, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 22?$2.35Apr 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 22?$1.10Apr 21, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.40Apr 21, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".