Polite-Submitter
0xc3406a54130d36e4ec800cd7d8dbfe03453c9568
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$264.22
Total PnL
$18.90
Realised
$-5.48
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.75
$5.75
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.73
$5.73
- NO
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.23
$5.23
- NO
SBF released from custody in 2026?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.79
$0.43
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.78
$0.41
- NO
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.37
$0.21
- NO
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.35
$4.10
- NO
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.32
$0.13
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.24
$0.25
- NO
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.15
$3.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$7.98May 16, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$8.42May 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?$7.94May 11, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$8.41May 8, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition$8.00May 6, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?$8.50May 6, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?$8.50Apr 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMLabour leadership election scheduled by March 31?$12.00Apr 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $120 in March?$4.27Apr 1, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMIlhan Omar federally charged by March 31?$8.00Apr 1, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$40.00Apr 1, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.18Mar 30, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.08Mar 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$0.04Mar 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$0.02Mar 30, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?$0.01Mar 30, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?$0.01Mar 30, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$12.00Mar 28, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$8.61Mar 27, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$39.56Mar 27, 12:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".