Grand-Restoration
0xc34a4af2e3a818fdcdfaa7b5b140eca017ae6007
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-507.34
Realised
$150.62
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2400 shares @ 85.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$123.23
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1300 shares @ 70.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$858.00
$-53.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
800 shares @ 81.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$756.43
$104.48
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
400 shares @ 58.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.96
$43.96
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
250 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$250.00
$37.76
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
400 shares @ 42.8¢·now 44.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.40
$7.40
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
150 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$149.93
$9.72
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 32.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$145.03
$-178.54
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 61.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$97.50
$-704.49
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.75
$26.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$37.00May 10, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$38.00May 10, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$361.17May 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$54.89May 8, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$15.50May 8, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$45.11May 8, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$145.20May 8, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$70.00May 8, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$96.00May 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$39.75May 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$17.50May 8, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$60.25May 8, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$42.25May 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$200.18May 6, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$399.20May 6, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$184.00May 6, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$73.36May 6, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$99.13May 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15.30May 6, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $81.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".