Earnest-Feed
0xc35fa3901e72cd80ca00120f4e5c0ee22db110ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$676.47
Total PnL
$-133.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
185 shares @ 54.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$184.50
$84.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.22
$49.22
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$136.99
$36.99
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
81 shares @ 61.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$81.27
$31.27
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
429 shares @ 46.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.21
$-152.79
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 66.1¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.95
$-8.05
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.25
$-28.75
- YES
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
93 shares @ 53.6¢·now 8.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$7.46
$-42.54
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.62
$-43.38
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 13, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$118.51Mar 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 10, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 10, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$100.00Mar 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 10, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$138.99Mar 10, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?$113.64Mar 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?$135.14Mar 7, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Mar 3, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$121.98Mar 3, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?$100.00Mar 3, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$100.00Mar 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$50.00Mar 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$100.00Mar 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00Mar 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$50.00Mar 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$50.00Mar 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $80.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 06:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".