Trivial-Rate
0xc3629c93ade971524ceb7bd192a8774a43a57f4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$171.75
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
1344 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.3K
$1.16
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
592 shares @ 79.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$592.00
$118.99
- O 84.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
892 shares @ 16.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$245.30
$102.58
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
257 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$176.04
$21.84
- NO
Arthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?
146 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$146.00
$24.82
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
141 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$141.00
$22.70
- NO
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
61 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.00
$3.42
- NO
Will Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
27 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.00
$1.19
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
58 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.48
$0.20
- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 9.5¢·now 45.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$0.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00Apr 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UConn advance to the Final Four?$103.18Mar 29, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?$103.20Mar 25, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Department of State" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$118.08Mar 24, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Department of State" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$22.08Mar 24, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$139.75Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?$106.80Mar 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? $34.87Mar 23, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$154.80Mar 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$295.84Mar 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$299.28Mar 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$49.44Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$93.28Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?$57.40Mar 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?$119.60Mar 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?$122.00Mar 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?$137.10Mar 19, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?$5.85Mar 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?$986.70Mar 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?$152.48Mar 17, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $150.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".