Medium-Spiral
0xc369247b649a9ac0f9d7a8e23cf4a6f0d6224e87
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
185
Open notional
$18.75
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$161.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 185- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
699 shares @ 6.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.39
$-34.17
- YES
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
250 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.35
$-27.15
- YES
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
652 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.26
$-48.93
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-5.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
50269 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-800.53
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
17016 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-739.33
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
12000 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
10000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-66.47
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
9999 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.14
- YES
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
5410 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-74.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$0.46Mar 21, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$0.61Mar 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$1.76Mar 20, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$1.21Mar 20, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$2.80Mar 20, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$2.80Mar 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$2.44Mar 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$0.03Mar 20, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$0.08Mar 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?$12.07Mar 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?$2.92Mar 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$0.03Mar 19, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.07Mar 19, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.10Mar 19, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.63Mar 19, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.60Mar 19, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.05Mar 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.62Mar 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.10Mar 19, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$0.09Mar 19, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".