Frayed-Predecessor
0xc39212e63a5cb886bb4fb96953cacc04f52b511b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$855.84
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$315.00
$185.00
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
381 shares @ 34.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$199.87
$70.43
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1500 shares @ 10.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.50
$-32.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1250 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$90.00
$-32.50
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.50
$-55.50
- YES
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?
1015 shares @ 7.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.96
$-46.99
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1002 shares @ 12.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.02
$-115.52
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
526 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.89
$-0.89
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
116 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.93
$-0.58
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
37 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.17
$-0.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$31.61May 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$34.30May 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$57.41May 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$134.06May 17, 06:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$42.75May 16, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$5.00May 16, 01:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$0.09May 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$0.49May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$0.24May 15, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$0.09May 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$4.00May 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$37.02May 15, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$0.80May 15, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$7.15May 15, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$0.83May 15, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$12.71May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$5.86May 15, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".