Modest-Meantime
0xc3bfe4509fa514a77d415c4c0b7e1efb5033e70f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$12.1K
Total PnL
$4.9K
Realised
$6.3K
Win rate
64%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- NO
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Burnley FC?
2138 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.1K
$73.76
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3001 shares @ 40.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$880.75
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50036 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$225.16
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
3000 shares @ 57.9¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-595.86
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
830 shares @ 74.1¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$803.02
$188.22
- YES
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
1821 shares @ 13.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$282.30
$40.13
- YES
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
2300 shares @ 9.5¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$276.03
$56.70
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
990 shares @ 33.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$212.82
$-117.13
- YES
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
1239 shares @ 16.4¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$210.71
$7.04
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
217 shares @ 57.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$179.02
$55.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$17.38May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$12.64May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$11.06May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$1.36May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$0.98May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$1.54May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$3.06May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$0.24May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$2.40May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$1.08May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$105.86May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$0.66May 18, 01:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.80May 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.47May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.82May 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.83May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?$0.32May 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.00May 17, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.16May 17, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".