Radiant-Birdhouse
0xc3c3b3ef304ddbea39fa2246e683a71da5d0eec8
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$98.9K
Total PnL
$-6.1M
Realised
$31.1K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1327650 shares @ 12.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.9K
$-67.5K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1500100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-119.8K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
371674 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.5K
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
345009 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.7K
- HEAT
Heat vs. Lakers
300005 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-69.0K
- JAZZ
Hawks vs. Jazz
300000 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-82.5K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
279610 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-39.2K
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
274122 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.9K
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
250000 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.4K
- NO
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
250000 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-37.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5$25.81May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.35May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.39May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.39May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$0.20May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.35May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.35May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$1.39May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$4.44May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.35May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$1.20May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5$0.96May 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$638.93May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$94.00May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$0.84May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.39May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.82May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$509.98May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5$2.55May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5$2.50May 18, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $124.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".