Active-Hypothermia
0xc3cd1d612bbf9fbf80da5a9bff0b0470cb46816c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.0K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
52%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1500 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$622.50
$-7.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
600 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$573.35
$-0.90
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$567.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$452.50
$-12.50
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
500 shares @ 86.2¢·now 86.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$430.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$417.50
$-7.50
- NO
Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale?
400 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$398.02
$0.00
- NO
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
400 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$397.61
$0.00
- NO
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?
400 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$397.60
$0.00
- NO
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
400 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$397.40
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.15May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$337.99May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$33.36May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$9.19May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.68May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.50May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.43May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$24.00May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.25May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$55.83May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$61.89May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$431.00May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$31.62May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.73May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$64.30May 18, 06:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.81May 18, 06:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$93.53May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$49.09May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$239.76May 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.39May 18, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $47.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".